Strong rebounds from Pham and Lodolo not enough to stop Reds’ 7th consecutive loss
The Reds got their first lead of the week in the first inning when Tommy Pham finally got his first extra hit as a Red. The Brethren faithful, for some reason, decided to boo the .039 hitter, and Pham returned the favor with a 424-foot blast into the left field seats.
Unfortunately for the Reds, who had little success in the opening games of the season, that lead lasted only a few minutes. The second hitter of the game for the Padres, Manny Machado hit a two-run homer off Nick Lodolo to quickly put the Reds behind 2-1.
Lodolo settled in and threw five strong innings overall – a very strong rebound after his disastrous first start at the Great American Ballpark. The Reds offense had plenty of good chances early in the game, but couldn’t find a way to get more runners on the plate from Padres starting pitcher Sean Manaea. The Reds lost their 7th game in a row to fall to 2-9 on aggregate.
The Reds’ worst starts in 11 games since 1955 (how badly it went before the season’s No.3 win):
2018: 2-9 (2-13)
1993: 2-9 (2-9)
1955: 2-9 (2-11)
The biggest game in the game
According to Fangraphs WPA statistics (percentage added win), the biggest play in the game was Nick Lodolo allowing a 2-run home run to Manny Machado with 0 out in the 1st inning, giving the Padres a 2-1 lead. This play decreased the Reds’ probability of winning by 18.2% (from 52.8% to 34.6%).
Tommy Pham made his return to Petco Park a triumph, and he was indispensable for Reds fans. Pham entered the night hitting .038/.194/.038 with zero extra hits. He finished the night a shy triple of the cycle.
Nick Lodolo got off to a rough start but settled in to give the Reds a truly quality second big league start. His last line certainly wasn’t spectacular (5.0 IP, 6 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 8 K), but he had a lot of bad swings and weak contacts after the first set. Lodolo only allowed 2 hard hits according to Statcast, and finished with a .243 xBA against.
Alejo Lopez got a hit in his first start of 2021. He also hit a rocket later in the game for a tough outing.
Joey Votto is really in trouble. He is now 1 of 28 with 14 strikeouts in his last 8 games. The Reds face their first RHP since Friday tomorrow so I doubt he’ll get a day off then but if he doesn’t get things done tomorrow you have to wonder if he would get a day off against an LHP on Wednesday with a day off on Thursday for a nice two-day break.
Brandon DryThe hot start of cooled off tonight. He went 0 for 4 with 2 strikeouts – second at bat for the Cincinnati Reds.
Not so random thoughts……….
It’s not much fun right now, but it will get better for the Reds. Maybe people like me who thought this team could play near their preseason near the PECOTA projection of .500 were turned off – time will tell. The Reds aren’t that bad. Until this team finally gets going, we’ll just have to enjoy starts like Nick Lodolo’s tonight. Better days will come.
Reds at Padres
Tuesday, 9:40 p.m.
Television: Bally Sports Ohio
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